All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez

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As in the moments following the 2016 US election, win probabilities took center stage in public discourse after New England’s comeback victory in the Super Bowl over Atlanta. Unfortunately, n…
All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez
nflWAR: a reproducible method for offensive player evaluation in football
All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez
All models are wrong, but some are useful - The Correspondent
All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez
Building a Basic, In-Game Win Probability Model for the NFL, by Stephen Hill
All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez
PDF) All models are wrong, some are useful.pdf
All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez
nflWAR: a reproducible method for offensive player evaluation in football
All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez
Thread by @EvolvingWild on Thread Reader App – Thread Reader App
All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez
StatsbyLopez
All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez
All models are wrong, but // The Topos Lab
All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez
PDF) Hiding in plain sight: schedule density and travel influence on NBA game outcomes
All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez
What was lost? A causal estimate of fourth down behavior in the National Football League - IOS Press
All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez
Success Probability - an overview
All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez
Probability models example: frozen yogurt (video)
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